We're going to have to watch out for solar storms

Recent research has predicted the imminent arrival of more intense solar storms from the 1950s.
Author: Doktor Tony Phillips, [NASA ] U.S… Via Dino Bloise, U.S…

These reports are already confirmed: the sunny minimum has arrived. The sun spots disappeared. There are no solar flares. The sun is calm. It portends the calm before the storm. A group of researchers announced, that a storm is on its way – most intense during a sunny minimum as in the 1950s.
The forecast was made under the direction of Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (national center for atmospheric research – NCAR). ” The next solar cycle will be o 30 to 50% more intense than the previous one. If the prediction is correct, flares of solar activity in the coming years, which happens will hardly be less than some of the historical solar maxima of the year 1958. That was a great high.

The epoch of space began as soon as: the Sputnik satellite was launched in October 1957 and the Explorer 1 (America's first satellite, Explorer 1) in January 1958. It was not possible in those years, to know if a solar storm approaches the limit of cell phone signal strength. People found out, that something tremendous had happened, because the northern lights have already been seen three times in Mexico.

Currently, a maximum of much similar power should significantly affect cell phones, GPS devices, climatological satellites and many other modern technologies. Dikpati's prediction is unprecedented. Nearly two centuries since the discovery of the 11-year solar cycle, scientists have struggled to predict the intensity of the future maximum, and they failed. The biggest part can be as intense as one of the year 1958, or barely detectable as in year 1805, it is not subject to any regularity.

The key to solving the mystery, as Dikpati explains occurred several years earlier. It is the conveyor belt of the sun. We have something similar here on Earth: the great conveyor belt of the ocean was popularized by the movie "The Day After". This system draws water and heat from the ocean. Just like in the movie, the sun's conveyor belt stops and this causes chaos in the earth's climate. The sun's conveyor belt is, not from water, but from gas that conducts electricity. It flows in through the winding, which goes from the solar equator to the turning points and back. And how the great conveyor belt of the ocean controls the Earth's climate, the solar belt controls the climate of our star. Specifically, controls the sunspot cycle. Solar expert David Hathaway physicist from the National Center for Space Technology and Natural Sciences (national space science & technology middle – NSSTC) he explains it like this: the first thing he mentions is the question "what exactly are sunspots?"?” – they are mere products of magnetism, created by the sun's internal dynamo.

A typical sunspot lasts for several days, barely a week. It soon weakens and decomposes, leaving behind ” weak magnetic fields “. This is a conveyor belt. ” The higher part of the conveyor belt will brighten the surface of the sun, will remove the magnetic fields of the remaining sunspots. “The remains (after stains) stretched” towards the turnstiles and to the depth 200,000 kilometers, where the sun's magnetic dynamo can amplify. Then the remains (magnetized) they start working again (amplified), they charge up and float to the surface full of life “. Just, (simply), new sunspots! This will all happen very slowly. “They need almost 40 let k tomu , for the belt to complete its rotation”, says Hathaway. The speed varies “from a slow 50-year-old rhythm to a fast 30-year-old rhythm”. When you belt ” accelerates “, it means, that many of the magnetic fields left behind are removed, and that the future solar cycle will be more intense.

This is the basis of solar climatological predictions: ” the belt was accelerated in the cycle 1986 until 1996″, says Hathaway, ” magnetic fields of which remains were then left, will reappear now as large sunspots in the period 2010 until 2021″. Like most experts in his field, Hathaway has faith in the conveyor belt theory and agrees with Dikpati that the next solar maximum will be very intense.

But they disagree on one point. The Dikpati forecast locates the maximum in the year 2012. Hathaway thinks, that it will come sooner, maybe in a year 2010 or 2011. “History shows that large sunspot cycles intensify faster than small sunspot cycles”, he says. “I hope so , that I will see the first spots of the next cycle at the end of the year 2006 or 2007, and the maximum will come around the year 2010 or 2011”. Which of them is right??

Only time will tell. But in any case, the storm is approaching.
From: Dr. Tony Phillips.

http://ciencia.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10mar_stormwarning.htm?list304408

I warn you, that it is a free translation, so please excuse any shortcomings in the translation.

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